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jimtan
Real Estate Talker
Topic Author
Posts: 5427
Joined: Tue Jul 31, 2007 10:59 pm

Re: Are interest rates finally going to rise?

Wed Sep 20, 2017 11:24 am

Here we go. One more rate hike for Fed Reserve in 2017. Three rate hikes in 2018.

More important, is the unwinding of QA...

"The Fed’s New Dot Plot"

https://www.bloomberg.com/graphics/fomc-dot-plot/

"Fed won't stop cutting back on stimulus unless economy hits another big downturn, Yellen says"

https://www.cnbc.com/2017/09/20/the-fed ... -says.html
 
jimtan
Real Estate Talker
Topic Author
Posts: 5427
Joined: Tue Jul 31, 2007 10:59 pm

Re: Are interest rates finally going to rise?

Mon Oct 09, 2017 2:43 pm

Here's something alarming...

"The Fed's about to try something that almost always has ended in recession"

https://www.cnbc.com/2017/08/02/fed-bal ... ssion.html

"Fed economist: 'No evidence that QE works' as central bank starts unwinding program

... There's little question that the program, known as quantitative easing or "money printing," boosted the stock market. The three iterations of QE between November 2008 and October 2014 each saw big boosts to the market, with a cumulative S&P 500 gain from beginning to end, including the various down periods between each leg, of about 140 percent.

The economic impacts, though, are less clear.

For most of the period, GDP struggled to gain more than 2 percent. Wealth disparity grew, income gains were hard to come by and the Fed continually came up short on its inflation goal..."

https://www.cnbc.com/2017/09/19/fed-eco ... tarts.html
 
eyesthebye2
Real Estate Talker
Posts: 1163
Joined: Sun Jul 27, 2014 6:41 am

Re: Are interest rates finally going to rise?

Mon Oct 09, 2017 5:58 pm

jimtan wrote:
Here's something alarming...

"The Fed's about to try something that almost always has ended in recession"

https://www.cnbc.com/2017/08/02/fed-bal ... ssion.html

"Fed economist: 'No evidence that QE works' as central bank starts unwinding program

... There's little question that the program, known as quantitative easing or "money printing," boosted the stock market. The three iterations of QE between November 2008 and October 2014 each saw big boosts to the market, with a cumulative S&P 500 gain from beginning to end, including the various down periods between each leg, of about 140 percent.

The economic impacts, though, are less clear.

For most of the period, GDP struggled to gain more than 2 percent. Wealth disparity grew, income gains were hard to come by and the Fed continually came up short on its inflation goal..."

https://www.cnbc.com/2017/09/19/fed-eco ... tarts.html


You should have made it clear that this is the US federal bank
 
reallyreal2
Real Estate Talker
Posts: 678
Joined: Fri Jun 03, 2016 11:30 am

Re: Are interest rates finally going to rise?

Tue Oct 10, 2017 10:41 am

eyesthebye2 wrote:
jimtan wrote:
Here's something alarming...

"The Fed's about to try something that almost always has ended in recession"

https://www.cnbc.com/2017/08/02/fed-bal ... ssion.html

"Fed economist: 'No evidence that QE works' as central bank starts unwinding program

... There's little question that the program, known as quantitative easing or "money printing," boosted the stock market. The three iterations of QE between November 2008 and October 2014 each saw big boosts to the market, with a cumulative S&P 500 gain from beginning to end, including the various down periods between each leg, of about 140 percent.

The economic impacts, though, are less clear.

For most of the period, GDP struggled to gain more than 2 percent. Wealth disparity grew, income gains were hard to come by and the Fed continually came up short on its inflation goal..."

https://www.cnbc.com/2017/09/19/fed-eco ... tarts.html


You should have made it clear that this is the US federal bank

Why?
It's pretty obvious and I think everyone is capable of reading.
 
eyesthebye2
Real Estate Talker
Posts: 1163
Joined: Sun Jul 27, 2014 6:41 am

Re: Are interest rates finally going to rise?

Tue Oct 10, 2017 6:23 pm

Of course, why make this clear when your goal is to be alarmist. Let's just borrow and obfuscate any negative news we can find
 
jimtan
Real Estate Talker
Topic Author
Posts: 5427
Joined: Tue Jul 31, 2007 10:59 pm

Re: Are interest rates finally going to rise?

Tue Oct 10, 2017 6:49 pm

eyesthebye2 wrote:
Of course, why make this clear when your goal is to be alarmist. Let's just borrow and obfuscate any negative news we can find

Are you using the word 'obfuscate' correctly? Strange coming from a cherry picker like you?
 
reallyreal2
Real Estate Talker
Posts: 678
Joined: Fri Jun 03, 2016 11:30 am

Re: Are interest rates finally going to rise?

Tue Oct 10, 2017 7:10 pm

eyesthebye2 wrote:
Of course, why make this clear when your goal is to be alarmist. Let's just borrow and obfuscate any negative news we can find


It is clear to anybody that can read.

But hey - you can read minds (since you know what someone’s goal is) yet want someone to be clear for those that can actually read words.
 
eyesthebye2
Real Estate Talker
Posts: 1163
Joined: Sun Jul 27, 2014 6:41 am

Re: Are interest rates finally going to rise?

Wed Oct 11, 2017 11:48 am

The first post and article of this thread are in reference to Canada. Start another thread if you want to talk about US concerns - some of us don't give a shit about what happens in the US.
 
jimtan
Real Estate Talker
Topic Author
Posts: 5427
Joined: Tue Jul 31, 2007 10:59 pm

Re: Are interest rates finally going to rise?

Wed Oct 11, 2017 12:17 pm

Right! What happens in the States will never affect Canada because it is in a universe of its own.

BTW, where were you during the financial crisis of 2008-9?

Yes, Canada banks fund their ten year mortgages from domestic deposits. Right!
 
reallyreal2
Real Estate Talker
Posts: 678
Joined: Fri Jun 03, 2016 11:30 am

Re: Are interest rates finally going to rise?

Wed Oct 11, 2017 2:19 pm

eyesthebye2 wrote:
The first post and article of this thread are in reference to Canada. Start another thread if you want to talk about US concerns - some of us don't give a shit about what happens in the US.

Just open your eyes - everything is right in front of you.  
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